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firehouse poll

Each state sample was weighted by age group, gender, education, and political party to reflect the demographic characteristics of the likely voter population within each state. Poll. Sample was weighted by age, gender, and party based on our likely voter universe. Search for: About Us The president consistently runs behind Democratic contenders aged 18-35 but does well among other age cohorts, especially those aged 55 years or older. Results were then re-balanced based on these cohorts.

By James Walker On 12/10/19 at 4:24 AM EST Margin of error varies by question and segment but is generally ± 4.1 in WI, ± 4.0 in PA, and ± 4.5 in MI for toplines. Likely voters were defined as registered voters who voted in both the 2012 and 2016 general elections or the 2018 general election, plus the 15% of additional individuals most likely to turnout based on in-house turnout modeling. *We’re not saying we’re cheap, but we’re smarter with your resources than the other guys. Against almost each of his Democratic challengers, President Trump held a double-digit lead. Firehouse Strategies and 0ptimus Analytics have teamed up on two parallel online tracking surveys asking Americans about the current coronavirus pandemic and their attitudes in the midst of the crisis. As the impeachment process heats up in Washington, Donald Trump is seeing a boost in support in crucial swing states. We surveyed 1,778 likely voters in those states through a combination of live landline, live cell, and texts between March 19th and March 21st, 2019. 1501 M St. NW In Pennsylvania, 70-79% support Trump depending on matchup (Biden fares the best, and Beto fares the worst). 1501 M St. NW The Democrats perform the best against Trump in Wisconsin, while Trump holds well in Michigan.

The voters who picked Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016 in these three states will likely decide who wins in 2020. Margins of error vary by question and segment but is generally ± 4.1% in WI, ± 4.3% in MI, and ± 4.3% in PA for the topline results. The leads weaken in PA; despite Biden at +8 over Trump, Bernie becomes neck-and-neck with Trump at just +1, and Trump overtakes Beto by 6. As the Democratic primary wages on, Biden has seen a sever drop in the polls. The president is currently running up nine percentage points against Biden, twelve points against Warren, thirteen points against Sanders, eleven points against Buttigieg, and twelve points against Bloomberg. Across the board, President Trump is polling well against the Democratic field in each of these battleground states. On those issues, partisans have different issue priorities. Washington, DC 20005, likely Democratic primary voters in three early states, New Polling Shows Increase in Optimism for Economic Outlook, Economy Trumps Healthcare for Number One Political Issue, Democrats & Republicans Split on Economic Outlook, Polling Shows Americans are Concerned about Loosening Restrictions Too Quickly. This week we continued our quarterly battleground polling series in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin asking likely 2020 general election voters their political opinions on President Trump, the 2020 presidential election, and impeachment. For example, in a head-to-head contest of Trump against Bernie Sanders, Michiganders aged 18-35 support Sanders over Trump 58% to 34% but those aged 55+ support the president over Sanders 53% to 37%. 1501 M St. NW Despite pro-Trump enthusiasm in these states in 2016, many likely 2020 general election voters are not as satisfied with Trump’s job as President as of today. Firehouse Strategies As the Democratic primary wages on, Biden has seen a sever drop in the polls. Methodology: Between 03/19-03/21, we surveyed likely voters in Wisconsin (N = 616), Pennsylvania (N = 632), and Michigan (N = 530) via live landline and cell, and text. Firehouse Strategies is a full-service public affairs firm that focuses on delivering targeted persuasion campaigns for a wide variety of corporate clients. Suite 1100 In each of these battleground states, we find that a majority of likely 2020 voters do not support the impeachment and removal of President Trump from office. For example, in our March survey, Biden led Trump in Wisconsin by twelve percentage points, in Pennsylvania by seven points, and in Michigan he narrowly to Trump by 0.2 points. 46 states and counting! Firehouse Strategies is a full-service public affairs firm that focuses on delivering targeted persuasion campaigns for a wide variety of corporate clients. Learn How Your Donations Save Lives Support First Responders On Twitter @FirehouseSubs. Suite 1100 This year, Firehouse Strategies is partnering with the data analytics team at 0ptimus to learn more about the key voters who will elect the next president. Today we open our first location in Rhode Island!

Wisconsin pulls the lowest net approval at -13, followed by Pennsylvania at -6, and Michigan coming closest at only -2. Our key findings and trendlines for today’s data points are presented below. Among non-partisan voters, Wisconsinites favored President Trump by double digits. While these numbers will fluctuate as the presidential election continues, Trump is well situated to win back these contests. Since that survey, there has been a clear downward trajectory in the Vice President’s performance. In Pennsylvania, Trump continues to do well against the competition with the president leading Biden by four percentage points, Warren by seven points, Sanders by eleven points, Buttigieg by six points, and Bloomberg by four points. Suite 1100 Methodology Summary: The Firehouse/0ptimus survey was conducted 12/3 through 12/5 and interviewed 1,759 likely 2020 general election voters in Wisconsin (N = 610), Michigan (N = 551), and Pennsylvania (N = 598) via live landline (WI: 238; MI: 228; PA: 227), live cellphone (WI: 114; MI: 117; PA: 133), and peer to peer text message to web (WI: 258; MI: 206; PA: 238). As Trump Recovers, He Retreats to a Conservative Media Safe Space The president is opting for settings where there is […], Today, one of the public relations industry’s top media companies, PRovoke, released the most recent edition of The PRovoke Podcast […], Coronavirus Tracking Update Overview The latest data from the Firehouse & Optimus coronavirus tracking poll shows an increase in optimism […], Firehouse Strategies As the race currently stands, President Trump is in the lead in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in hypothetical match-ups against former Vice President Joe Biden, Senator Elizabeth Warren, Senator Bernie Sanders, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and former Mayor Michael Bloomberg. (Full methodology below.). Washington, DC 20005. Notably, Vice President Biden has seen a sharp decline in support in our surveys as he currently runs behind President Trump in each of the three states. Biden leads Trump in Pennsylvania, while Trump beats Beto and is within margin of error Bernie there. Despite facing impeachment, President Donald Trump has beaten his Democratic rivals in the battleground states Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in the latest poll from GOP firm Firehouse … Across all three states, Obama-Trump voters overwhelmingly side with Trump in the head-to-head ballot tests. partisan voters in Pennsylvania slightly support it (46.4% to 40.9%). Our full methodology statement is available on our GitHub repository, Firehouse Strategies KEY POINT: Trump is maintaining his support with critical Obama-Trump swing voters. KEY POINT: Trump is underwater among 2020 likely general election voters in these three key states, especially in WI. At Firehouse, we employ a uniquely authentic approach based on extensive experience messaging to targeted audiences. At a time when authenticity is critical, most paid media and astroturfing is wasted. Wisconsin was President Trump’s best state in this round of battleground polling. In this month’s survey, we found Trump over Biden by nine points in Wisconsin, by four points in Pennsylvania, and five points in Michigan.

When asked about whether congressional Democrats should be spending their time impeaching Trump or focusing on policy issues, a majority of these battleground state voters choose “focus on policy issues” (MI: 59.4%; PA: 63%; WI: 67.2%). We will be sharing the results of our surveys with you on a regular basis every Monday and Thursday. KEY POINT: Overall, we find President Trump performing well in these crucial 2020 states. FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and the methodology of each firm’s polls. This month, we interviewed general election likely voters in the battleground states of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. According to our survey, Trump’s job approval is in the 40s in each state, and on average, 51% of voters in the three states disapprove. A new survey by Firehouse Strategies gives the president a double-digit lead over most primary contenders in Wisconsin. Impeachment and removal is opposed by 50.8% of voters in Michigan, 52.2% of voters in Pennsylvania, and 57.9% of voters in Wisconsin. … KEY POINT: Battleground state voters favor congressional Democrats turning away from impeachment issues and focusing on policy issues like immigration, health care, and climate change. Biden pulls the strongest lead against Trump, with Bernie behind him, and Beto trailing behind. We kicked off the series in February among likely Democratic primary voters in three early states. A summary of our results is presented below. In each state, a plurality of Republicans believe that immigration is the most important political issue facing the United States today (MI: 32.6%; PA: 29.9; WI: 26.8) while a plurality of Democrats in Michigan and Wisconsin believe it is health care (MI: 23.3%; WI: 24.3%) and Democrats in Pennsylvania believe it is climate change (22.5%). Trump leads Sen. Bernie Sanders Bernie Sanders Supreme Court opens new term in divisive era Battleground voters are pragmatic on energy The Hill… KEY POINT: Right now, Biden is the strongest against Trump compared to Bernie and Beto. In Michigan, 84% of Obama-Trump voters choose Trump regardless of the Democratic opponent. MI looks better for Trump overall, where he ties with Biden and earns a 2 pt lead over Bernie and an 8 pt lead over Beto.

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October 14, 2020 Uncategorized

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